Treasurys are surging as stocks get slammed

A third day of losses for stock markets on Tuesday added to worries over the fate of a stocks bull market stretching back to the global financial crisis of 2008-9. The Dow's fall ranked as its 100th biggest, while the S. & P. 500's slide was the 127th biggest in the index's history, according to S & P Dow Jones Indices.

Australia's S&P/ASX 200 Index dropped 1.3 percent and New Zealand's S&P/NZX 50 Index sank 1.7 percent. We have a stronger economy so the Fed should continue to tighten. This was against the backdrop of a strongly rising trend thanks to very positive economic conditions and President Trump's business friendly policies.

The Standard & Poor's 500, the benchmark for many index funds, fell 113 points, or 4.1 percent, to 2,648.

Richard Bernstein, chief executive of Richard Bernstein Advisors, said he would be a buyer when the yield curve inverts.

Stocks were pummeled on Friday and Monday. This is normal, every day stock market volatility.

That sparked a sell-off in US equities that is set to continue on Monday.

German 10-year bond yields rose to 0.77 pct, as prices hit their lowest for two years and half, while 30-year bond yield at 2-year of 1.43 pct, as reported by Reuters.

Australian stocks fell hard in early trade.

Many analysts pointed to a seemingly unusual cause for the turbulence: rising wages.

Paul Ciana, a technical strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, sees the next major support level for 10-year notes at around 2.95 percent, the 150-month simple moving average, which they last touched in 2007.

The recent strengthening of stocks in India despite rising bond yields suggested that the market was expecting a strong earnings recovery.

It has raised year-end U.

-Wall Street was overdue for a "reality check".

When bond yield rises, the opportunity cost of investing in other assets, including equities, rises.

The stock market is having a panic attack. The Federal Reserve combats inflation by raising its interest rates.

"If there is going to be a recession, it will be next year, not this year, but there could be a slowdown in the United States economy as inflation is picking up, which could lead to stagflation in Q2 and Q3", he said.

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Moderate inflation is a healthy component of an economy. "There is a high chance of the economy overheating". The policies of central banks as well as the worldwide community will determine whether the economy continues to look up while markets wean themselves off monetary easing.

India, too, is witnessing a rise in yields on 10-year bonds, and the Dalal Street is feeling the heat.

Bond yields are rising as the Federal Reserve trims its USA bond holdings.

A little more than a week into the New Year, billionaire bond guru Bill Gross proclaimed the start of a bond bear market, after an extraordinary bullish run spanning more than three decades.

Ratings agency Fitch last month said that many regulated utilities companies would also have to reduce how much they charge customers to reflect new tax rates.

"10-year Treasury yields will remain under 3% by the end of the year, which is a good environment for equity markets". Worldwide, equities have lost more than $4 trillion in value since their peak in late January.

Investors have spent much of the past year shrugging off geopolitical and economic risks, from the threat of nuclear conflict with North Korea to a potential trade war with China.

"It's not all that complicated", said Jared Bernstein, an economist at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities.

While the economy has hummed along, wage growth has stubbornly lagged behind.

A cooling-off period would be a good thing. A rise commodity prices also raises inflation.

Our perceptions are distorted, in part, by thinking about swings in terms of points rather than in terms of percentages. The Republican tax cut is great for corporate profits. In the past 40 years, you can count on one hand the number of times (1994, 1999, 2009, and 2013) that Treasuries posted a negative annual total return (price change plus interest payments). That catapulted 10-year Treasury yields - a key global interest rates indicator - to fresh four-year highs.

Any rally by the dollar weakens commodities priced in the currency, with the Thomson Reuters CRB index down 0.5 percent.

Another factor that might have investors finally pricing in more risk is the rising federal deficit. The market downturn isn't being driven by bad economic news. "The overall market could have taken a cue from some of the bigger names". We just experienced three times that amount.

May at Oxford Economics again says second-round effects from higher energy prices may not occur, meaning the impact on inflation would be temporary.

The market's tumult may hold another sort of message. I think that is a decent probability due to what I would call the excesses of the Fed's Quantitative Easing program.


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